MLB Betting: Tuesday Best Bets

MLB Betting: Tuesday Best Bets

This article is part of our MLB Betting series.

Previous article 0-4 -4.60

Overall 97-80-1 +3.35

Betting baseball is fun and challenging. It is a new puzzle each day. But sometimes, especially in the case of yesterday, it can be cruel. Yes, I have had 0-4 days, not many mind you, but they sting. Yesterday stung even more with the way the losses happened. The Braves pick bombed, no excuses. I should have backed off that game as both teams are on tremendous roles and it was too close to call. But the Pirates/Diamondbacks game was pretty much in the bag with two outs in the top of the 5th and then all hell broke loose costing me both picks. The Rockies/Cubs was bitter as the Cubs scored five runs in the final two innings and the game went over the total by one run.

What could have easily been a 3-1 day turned into 0-4. On to the next!

Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles 7:05 pm et

Dylan Bundy vs. Spenser Watkins

I said the other day I would keep going against the Orioles on the run line as long as the juice was -130 or less and we get that tonight with the Angels -1.5 (+120).  The Orioles have lost 18 in a row, 0-9 both home and road, but they do hit much better at home. The total is 10.5 so lots of scoring is expected in this game, which makes the -1.5 much easier to lay. Also, the Orioles have only had one game in which the margin was under two runs in this losing streak.

BET – Angels -1.5 (+120) for 1 RW buck

Arizona Diamondbacks [LOGO[ at Pittsburgh Pirates 7:05 PM ET

Madison Bumgarner vs. JT Brubaker

Bumgarner has allowed two earned runs or less in his last seven starts and gets a Pirates offense that is 27th in F5 runs (2.2) at home. The Pirates are dead last or close to it in most offensive categories in August with a 6-16 record, .209 average, .272 OBP, and .323 SLG. An interesting note in this game and proof that you need to shop and search for the best value – The Pirates total for the F5 is 2.5 but at -155.

Brubaker has been lit up his last three starts for a 12.86 ERA, 2.00 WHIP. I'm correlating MadBum's solid recent history along with the bad history of Brubaker for the Dbacks to have at least a one run lead after five innings.

BET –  Bumgarner under 2.5 earned runs (+110) for 1 RW buck

BET –  Arizona -0.5 F5 (+105)

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds 8:10 PM ET

Corbin Burnes vs. Tyler Mahle

I have been on Burnes pretty much the whole year on numerous props like strikeouts, earned runs, and total outs. In this spot, I like him under 1.5 earned runs as I expect him to go between 5.5 and 6.5 innings with zero or one run.  His third-best start of the year came against the Reds on July 18th in which he threw 8.1 innings with 12 strikeouts, 1 walk, and no earned runs allowed. He has allowed just one earned run or less in eight out of his last nine starts.

BET – Burnes under 1.5 earned runs (+110) for 1 RW buck

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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