Framber Valdez

Framber Valdez

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Houston Astros
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez stepped up in a huge way in the absences of Justin Verlander and Jose Urquidy, ascending to previously unforeseen new heights. Valdez was stellar over his 11 regular-season appearances (10 starts) with a 2.85 FIP over 70.2 innings, and continued to shine throughout the postseason, even earning the Game 1 nod over Zack Greinke in the ALCS. The lefty had a 1.88 ERA and 26:10 K:BB over 24 playoff innings. Don't kick yourself if you did not see this breakout coming. Valdez showed flashes in 2018 but had an ugly 13.4 BB% in 2019 before suddenly finding his control and shaving his walk rate to just 5.6% while adding nearly six percentage points to his strikeout rate. With his heavy sinker-curveball approach, Valdez does a good job keeping the ball on the ground (career 62.8 GB%), but he had a very favorable schedule last season and it's fair to wonder how much of the control gains he might give back. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#142
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Astros in August of 2018.
Charged with Game 1 loss
PHouston Astros
October 27, 2021
Valdez (0-1) allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk while striking out two in two innings to take the loss against Atlanta in Game 1 of the World Series on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Valdez gave up a leadoff home run to begin Tuesday's contest, and he continued to struggle throughout his outing. He allowed three runs across the first two innings and gave up a two-run homer with no outs in the third inning prior to his removal. The 27-year-old had allowed just four runs (three earned) in 10.2 innings across his last two appearances, and he tentatively lines up to make his next start on the road Sunday in Game 5.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
65
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .222 269 75 36 49 7 2 4
Since 2019vs Right .241 920 194 82 198 28 3 22
2021vs Left .225 96 26 12 18 2 0 3
2021vs Right .219 476 99 46 92 14 1 9
2020vs Left .243 80 26 5 17 1 2 0
2020vs Right .238 208 50 11 46 5 1 5
2019vs Left .197 93 23 19 14 4 0 1
2019vs Right .291 236 45 25 60 9 1 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.80 1.30 135.0 11 4 0 9.8 4.3 0.8
Since 2019Away 4.09 1.34 141.0 9 12 0 7.8 3.4 0.9
2021Home 3.45 1.37 62.2 5 2 0 9.8 4.9 1.0
2021Away 2.88 1.14 72.0 6 4 0 7.1 3.0 0.6
2020Home 3.52 1.08 30.2 3 1 0 10.9 2.9 0.3
2020Away 3.60 1.15 40.0 2 2 0 8.8 1.4 0.9
2019Home 4.54 1.37 41.2 3 1 0 9.1 4.5 0.9
2019Away 7.76 2.10 29.0 1 6 0 8.1 7.1 1.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.16
 
K/9
8.4
 
BB/9
3.9
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
92.5 mph
 
ERA
3.14
 
WHIP
1.25
 
BABIP
.278
 
GB/FB
6.02
 
Left On Base
76.7%
 
Exit Velocity
84.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.3%
 
Spin Rate
2242 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.7%
 
Swinging Strike
10.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Framber Valdez
DraftKings MLB: World Series Game 5 Breakdown
28 days ago
The money line says the Astros are the favorites tonight, but Dan Marcus also lists scenarios using some Braves hitters.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday World Series Game 5 Targets
28 days ago
With Atlanta's pitching situation up in the air, Chris Morgan is sticking with a trio of Houston bats.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Targets
32 days ago
Chris Morgan checks out the slate for Game 2 of the World Series as Eddie Rosario looks to continue his postseason tear and send Atlanta home with a commanding 2-0 lead.
MLB Betting: World Series Game 1 Bets
33 days ago
Michael Rathburn lays out his best bets, including a moneyline and a total, for World Series Game 1 as the Astros get set to host the Braves in Houston.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday World Series Targets
33 days ago
Chris Bennett looks over the options for Game 1 of the World Series as Kyle Tucker and the Astros take on Atlanta.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
The young left-hander found success with the Astros in 2018 -- mostly working as a spot starter -- with a 2.19 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 37 innings, and he carried that performance through his first 16 outings in 2019. But Valdez had a 9.66 ERA across his final 31.2 innings and wasn't selected for the playoff roster as a result. The 26-year-old's major issue has always been walks, and his 13.8 BB% last season remains a concern. He looked much more comfortable at Triple-A with a 69:17 K:BB over 44.1 frames, but he was unable to carry that success into the majors. Valdez's hard sinker helped produce a 62.1% groundball rate, but the 25.7 HR/FB% illustrates his general inconsistency. He split time between the rotation and bullpen in 2019, but he seems more likely to benefit the Astros in relief this season given the more reliable starting options on the team.
Despite having made just two appearances above Double-A, Valdez was summoned to the big leagues in late August and went on to make five starts and three relief appearances for the Astros, finishing with an excellent 2.19 ERA. Although the results were impressive, there are reasons to be skeptical. He was never viewed as a particularly interesting prospect and was thought to be ticketed for a bullpen role, which still seems likely as he threw his third pitch (a changeup) just 1.7% of the time. He walked far too many batters (15.6%) -- another sign of a potential bullpen future -- which contributed to a forgettable 4.65 FIP. An excellent 70.3% groundball rate makes the lefty somewhat interesting, but he's far from a lock as a future starter and would certainly have far less fantasy appeal if he ends up in a long-relief role.
More Fantasy News
Starting Game 1 of World Series
PHouston Astros
October 24, 2021
Valdez will start Game 1 of the World Series against Atlanta on Tuesday, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cruises through eight innings
PHouston Astros
October 21, 2021
Valdez picked up the win with an excellent outing in Game 5 of the ALCS against Boston on Wednesday, allowing just one run on three hits and a walk while striking out five across eight innings.
ANALYSIS
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Settles for no-decision
PHouston Astros
October 16, 2021
Valdez allowed three runs (two earned) on six hits and three walks while striking out two in 2.2 innings in Friday's win over the Red Sox in Game 1 of the ALCS. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Game 1
PHouston Astros
October 14, 2021
Valdez will start Game 1 of the ALCS against the Red Sox on Friday, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up four runs in Game 2
PHouston Astros
October 8, 2021
Valdez allowed four runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out six in 4.1 innings during Friday's win over the White Sox in Game 2 of the ALDS. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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