This article is part of our Survivor series.
The Browns, Texans, Cardinals and Football Team took down about 54 percent of pools last week, probably ending more than a few of them.
Let's take a look at Week 17:
| Team | Opponent | %Taken* | Vegas ML** | Vegas Odds | Expected Loss |
| COLTS | Jaguars | 19.60% | 1050 | 91.30 | 1.70 |
| BROWNS | Steelers | 15.80% | 437.5 | 81.40 | 2.94 |
| Ravens | BENGALS | 11.60% | 675 | 87.10 | 1.50 |
| Vikings | LIONS | 11.40% | 260 | 72.22 | 3.17 |
| Saints | PANTHERS | 8.70% | 260 | 72.22 | 2.42 |
| Titans | TEXANS | 7.20% | 330 | 76.74 | 1.67 |
| BUCCANEERS | Falcons | 5.70% | 250 | 71.43 | 1.63 |
| PATRIOTS | Jets | 4.80% | 150 | 60.00 | 1.92 |
| Cowboys | GIANTS | 4.50% | 145 | 59.18 | 1.84 |
| Raiders | BRONCOS | 2.30% | 125 | 55.56 | 1.02 |
| Football Team | EAGLES | 1.90% | 120 | 54.55 | 0.86 |
| Seahawks | 49ERS | 0.90% | 240 | 70.59 | 0.26 |
| Packers | BEARS | 0.80% | 230 | 69.70 | 0.24 |
| BILLS | Dolphins | 0.80% | 110 | 52.38 | 0.38 |
| Chargers | CHIEFS | 0.70% | 180 | 64.29 | 0.25 |
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
Keep in mind in Week 17, the ownership data is very noisy. You must look at who the other remaining teams in your pools have available and make your best estimate of who will be on what team. The pot odds strategy still applies, but put more weight on your particular pool than the overall numbers.
My Picks
1. Indianapolis Colts
They lost to the Jaguars in Week 1, but this game is in Indy, and the Jaguars are playing Mike Glennon and missing key skill players. The Colts need help to get into the playoffs, but they'll go all
The Browns, Texans, Cardinals and Football Team took down about 54 percent of pools last week, probably ending more than a few of them.
Let's take a look at Week 17:
| Team | Opponent | %Taken* | Vegas ML** | Vegas Odds | Expected Loss |
| COLTS | Jaguars | 19.60% | 1050 | 91.30 | 1.70 |
| BROWNS | Steelers | 15.80% | 437.5 | 81.40 | 2.94 |
| Ravens | BENGALS | 11.60% | 675 | 87.10 | 1.50 |
| Vikings | LIONS | 11.40% | 260 | 72.22 | 3.17 |
| Saints | PANTHERS | 8.70% | 260 | 72.22 | 2.42 |
| Titans | TEXANS | 7.20% | 330 | 76.74 | 1.67 |
| BUCCANEERS | Falcons | 5.70% | 250 | 71.43 | 1.63 |
| PATRIOTS | Jets | 4.80% | 150 | 60.00 | 1.92 |
| Cowboys | GIANTS | 4.50% | 145 | 59.18 | 1.84 |
| Raiders | BRONCOS | 2.30% | 125 | 55.56 | 1.02 |
| Football Team | EAGLES | 1.90% | 120 | 54.55 | 0.86 |
| Seahawks | 49ERS | 0.90% | 240 | 70.59 | 0.26 |
| Packers | BEARS | 0.80% | 230 | 69.70 | 0.24 |
| BILLS | Dolphins | 0.80% | 110 | 52.38 | 0.38 |
| Chargers | CHIEFS | 0.70% | 180 | 64.29 | 0.25 |
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
Keep in mind in Week 17, the ownership data is very noisy. You must look at who the other remaining teams in your pools have available and make your best estimate of who will be on what team. The pot odds strategy still applies, but put more weight on your particular pool than the overall numbers.
My Picks
1. Indianapolis Colts
They lost to the Jaguars in Week 1, but this game is in Indy, and the Jaguars are playing Mike Glennon and missing key skill players. The Colts need help to get into the playoffs, but they'll go all out here. I give them a 90 percent chance to win this game.
2. Cleveland Browns
The Steelers are starting Mason Rudolph which is tantamount to giving up. If Mike Tomlin changes his mind, pivot to the Ravens, but otherwise I give the Browns an 85 percent chance to win this game.
3. Baltimore Ravens
They need to win to get into the playoffs, but it's a road game, and the Bengals have shown up the last two weeks, particularly on offense. I give the Ravens an 85 percent chance to win this game.
4. Tennessee Titans
They played poorly last week, but they get a Texans team that plays no defense and that could be without Deshaun Watson. If Watson plays he gives them a puncher's chance against a weak defense, though. I give the Titans a 77 percent chance to win this game.
5. New Orleans Saints
The Saints can get home field advantage and a bye if the Bears beat the Packers. The Panthers have played better defensively of late, but I don't think they'll hold up against New Orleans' run game. I give the Saints a 74 percent chance to win this game.
6. Minnesota Vikings
If Matthew Stafford doesn't play, move the Vikings up to No. 4, though they'll be without Dalvin Cook. Even if a gimpy Stafford does go, the Lions defense is terrible, and I'd expect Kirk Cousins and his receivers to go off. I give the Vikings a 73 percent chance to win this game.
7. Seattle Seahawks
The 49ers are dangerous when they show up, but Trent Williams and Brandon Aiyuk are out this week, and the Seahawks are playing for seeding and a potential first round bye. I give the Seahawks a 71 percent chance to win this game.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I think the Falcons are a live dog, as they almost beat the Bucs the first time around, and Tampa is playing only for a marginal seeding upgrade. I give the Bucs a 68 percent chance to win this game.
9. Green Bay Packers
This is a nasty road game in Chicago against an improved Bears team with a good defense, needing to win to make the playoffs. The Packers are better, but I give them a 64 percent chance to win this game.
10. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers are the Chargers, but the Chiefs are starting Chad Henne, and that means other key players will sit out significant parts of the game. I give the Chargers a 63 percent chance to win this game.
11. New England Patriots
They looked bad Monday night against a strong Bills team, but I think they'll show up at home against the Jets. I give them a 60 percent chance to win this game.
12. Dallas Cowboys
They're on the road against a Giants team that's showed up more often than not, but they've been the better team the last few games, the Giants offensive line has been bad and Daniel Jones seems less mobile since his injury. I give the Cowboys a 57 percent chance to win this game.
Notable Omissions: None
